Spring / Summer Model Outlook 2026

[Andee]

It’s always a little sad to say goodbye to winter, but if we’re honest, this past season never really felt like one. Aside from a brief spell of more wintry weather back in November, the rest has largely been dominated by mild conditions and plenty of rain.

With that in mind, it’s time to turn the page. The Autumn & Winter 2025/26 thread has now been closed, and we move forward with the Spring & Summer 2026 discussion.

Let’s hope the months ahead bring something a little more settled than the washout we’ve seen recently.

[KTtom]

For those fed up of this drought (im sure there are 1 or 2 out there), this week looks more unsettled and cooler as winds swing more north west and weak bands of rain move south east...no deluge but it will feel more March like as temperatures return to single digits...



Im keeping my eye open for what currently is looking like a settled spell once again around easter weekend.

[GarbageBags]

drought had 3 nice days here. Feels like late April. Not fooling myself yet though.

[KTtom]

What the models are doing at the moment is pulling the Azores high north over the UK during the Easter period...the further north, the risk of cold weather increases...great news in January, not so sure in April...ECM day 10 joining the trend...

[KTtom]

Hopefully gfs has lost the plot somewhat for Easter weekend.....



Putting the gfs Storm aside...not looking as promising for Easter as it was a few days age...no washout but no heatwave....basically unsettled!

[KTtom]

A getting better Easter weekend on the cards...damp, drizzly and breezy on Friday and Saturday for most, better Sunday, then a lovely warm and sunny day Monday with a southerly draw before more rain pushes in Tuesday.

Mondays chart...

[KTtom]

A getting better Easter weekend on the cards...damp, drizzly and breezy on Friday and Saturday for most, better Sunday, then a lovely warm and sunny day Monday with a southerly draw before more rain pushes in Tuesday.

Mondays chart...

A slight change to the ubove post, it now looks like the warm settled spell will be extended until Thursday, with mid week seeing temperatures in the 20's for most

[Andee]

A getting better Easter weekend on the cards...damp, drizzly and breezy on Friday and Saturday for most, better Sunday, then a lovely warm and sunny day Monday with a southerly draw before more rain pushes in Tuesday.

Mondays chart...

A slight change to the ubove post, it now looks like the warm settled spell will be extended until Thursday, with mid week seeing temperatures in the 20's for most

Cheers Kev. Looking forward to feeling the some real warmth for a change.

[KTtom]

High pressure due to build to the north of the UK from the weekend. Expecting a dry spell, plenty of sunshine but not especially warm next week.

[KTtom]

Looks like this dry and settled spell will see April out. High pressure in total control over the UK next week. Warm in the west, cooler in the east with an on shore wind. Overall, dry and sunny.

[KTtom]

The chase for rain has started! Yes, believe it or not, after the winter we had, some are already craving rain...this week looks dry and sunny but a change is afoot as we head into the Bank Holiday Weekend! Low pressure developing to the south west, bringing more unsettled conditions...

Friday Chart...

[KTtom]

Mainly dry, but also a fair bit cooler this week as a northerly flow takes over. Next weekend looks like being a battle between high pressure to the north west and low pressure trying to move north from the south west. The further north west you are the better the chances of remaining dry, potentially heavy rain in the south...

[KTtom]

A very uninspiring week ahead, Atlantic high and North Sea low combo would be a dream in Winter but not so much now. No meaningful rain in the forecast just a scattering of showers in a very cool northerly wind..temps only just into double figures by the end of the week.

Mid Week UKMO

[KTtom]

A fairly deep Atlantic low forecast for early next week which should give some welcome rain for the west..not holding my breath tho, once again todays showers have not materialised in these parts.

[KTtom]

....to add to the above post, this is the model mean pressure chart for next weekend... strong confidence of high pressure building in over the UK to bring some warm sunshine...

[Andee]

....to add to the above post, this is the model mean pressure chart for next weekend... strong confidence of high pressure building in over the UK to bring some warm sunshine...

Beach time

[KTtom]

As posted above, the models are still rock solid on the very warm and sunny Bank Holiday. Some heavy showers around Saturday but after that its sunshine all the way with temperaures exceeding 25 c in some areas by Monday.

UKMO

[Andee]

As posted above, the models are still rock solid on the very warm and sunny Bank Holiday. Some heavy showers around Saturday but after that its sunshine all the way with temperaures exceeding 25 c in some areas by Monday.

UKMO

A rarity for a Bank holiday weekend. Enjoy

[KTtom]

As posted above, the models are still rock solid on the very warm and sunny Bank Holiday. Some heavy showers around Saturday but after that its sunshine all the way with temperaures exceeding 25 c

A rarity for a Bank holiday weekend. Enjoy

Fridge is full! No idea where the Mrs is going to put the food!

[KTtom]

Looks like the heatwave will be relitively short in duration, already signs that by the weekend the pattern will become more mobile once again as areas of low pressure move in off the Atlantic ..some rain next week and temps back down to the teens / low 20s.